In what wound up being the most combined yards in any game in NFL history, Super Bowl 52 was certainly exciting. Philadelphia came away with a 42-34 victory in a shootout, and hence I easily
won my Philadelphia +5.5 bet (which I released on Tuesday, January 23rd) on the Super Bowl. And
I wound up achieving what looked to be impossible as recently as early December. I finished the season exactly .500, going 51-51-7 on all of my plays (I went 31-32-6 on my sides/straight plays and
20-19-1 on my teaser plays, almost all of which were the standard 2 teams, 6 points at -110). So I avoided having a losing season, albeit it was admittedly a non-profitable season as 50% is obviously
below the 52.38% winning rate that one needs to attain in order to break-even when betting on football at the standard 10% juice (i.e. placing bets at -110). Just to remind you, I was an abysmal
26-45-6 (36.6%) during the first three months (13 weeks) of the season before finishing the season with a spectacular mark of 25-6-3 (80.6%) during the last month (4 weeks) of the regular season PLUS the playoffs.
So during the past 12 NFL seasons (2006-2017) since I launched my current website, I have gone a documented 826-638-48 (56.42%) on all of my plays, which is more than 4 percentage points above the 52.38% winning rate that one needs to attain in order to break-even in the long-run. Nickel bettors who have wagered on all of my plays during the past 12 NFL seasons have made a net profit of $62,100, which comes out to be an average of $5,175 per NFL season. If one had bet just 3% of their total betting bankroll on each of my plays during the past 12 NFL seasons he/she would have made a net return of 31.05%, which comes out to be 74.52% on an annualized basis since the NFL season is only five months long. This is more than seven times the average annualized rate of return of investing in the stock market. Hence wagering on my NFL games is more than seven times as profitable as investing in the stock market is.
It is also worth noting that the last time that I hit around 50% (which was 2013 in which I won 51.2% of my plays) I proceeded to have my best season ever during the following season (I went 74-34-3 - 68.5% in 2014 including an incredible 48-20-3 - 70.6% on my sides/straight plays). So next season I am definitely due up, and I figure to probably have a profitable season in 2018 like I have had during the majority of NFL seasons during the past two decades.
I am looking forward to having all of my clients back next season for what will probably be a profitable season plus adding new clients. Have a good offseason and feel free to drop me a line whenever you want. Best regards!
Steve ¨Cubby¨ Drumm - www.PickNFLWinners.com